A common issue in designing a clinical or animal study is to determine
the number of subjects required. Power calculations provide an
estimate of the number of study subjects that will be necessary to be
able detect a
difference between experimental and control subjects. The numbers
required will depend on the magnitude of the difference between the two
groups. The following graph depicts the results of power
calculations using Fisher's exact method which is better for small
numbers than a chi-square test. The data was generated with
G*Power3
software.
The variables mentioned in the graphs are:
N1 + N2 (the number of subjects
in the experimental and control groups, combined)
P1 (the proportion of
experimental subjects which are positive for the endpoint)
P2 (the proportion of control
subjects which are positive for the endpoint)
alpha ≤ 0.05 (the p-value of
the study, the probability that such results might occur by chance)
power = 0.8 (1- ß) (80%
chance of being able to detect a difference between the groups)
Example: Suppose that
you have strain of lab mice in which 10% develop tumors by 1 year of
age (P2 = 0.1, see curve with red triangles). If your
experimental
group develops a higher frequency of tumors, say 40% (P1 = 0.4) then
the total number of animals needed in the study (N1 + N2, on the
Y-axis) is 60, or about 30 in each group. Notice how the
curves rise sharply as the proportion of positive animals in the
experimental group (P1) decreases.